This market predicts whether a forest fire in the Jerusalem area will result in human fatalities before May 27, 2025. A fatality is defined as a death directly caused by the fire. Resolution will be based on official reports from Israeli authorities or credible news outlets.

• Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market specifically covers fatalities resulting directly from the event known as the 2025 Israel fires.

• Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolution is tied specifically to the event known as the 2025 Israel fires (referring to the event linked by the creator: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Israel_fires).

  • Fatalities resulting from new, separate forest fires that might start after the conclusion of the 2025 Israel fires event (even if occurring before May 27, 2025, and within the Jerusalem area) will not cause this market to resolve YES.