Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
Basic
10
Ṁ493
2026
14%
chance

Resolves YES it at any time within 2026, mainstream news sources (e.g. Dutch NOS News) report that the Dutch cabinet has fallen (in said year). Resolves NO otherwise.

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Any cabinet? Or the previous one?

@TheWabiSabi Any cabinet of the Netherlands.

@Vincent maybe you should have asked, how many cabinets...

@JussiVilleHeiskanen Will a Dutch cabinet fall?

reposted

The odds of this should be lowering now

@Vincent Ah, and they did!

bought Ṁ42 NO

Whatever the dutch cabinet happens to be at the time?

@asmith Yes, whichever cabinet.

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