
Will any world leader call for a global AI pause by EOY 2027?
Basic
10
Ṁ1332028
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For this market, "world leader" is defined as any head of government or head of state of any country which has a population of at least five million people. Will any such major world leader call for a global pause on AI development/progress before the end of 2027? The pause would not need to be absolute to qualify, but a pause on certain use cases (eg, weaponry or surveillance) would not suffice.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
15% chance
Will there be a global "pause" on cutting-edge AI research due to government regulation by 2025?
1% chance
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
21% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
29% chance
Will Vladimir Putin publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
18% chance
Conditional on humanity surviving to 2035, will a global AI pause have been enacted?
11% chance
Will Narendra Modi publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
24% chance
Will Chuck Schumer publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
24% chance
Will an international pause on large AI training runs be in effect on Jan 1, 2028?
5% chance