Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
Plus
13
Ṁ4232038
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Eliezer Yudkowsky is the recipient of a Turing Award before the year 2038.
Resolves NO if 2038 begins and Eliezer Yudkowsky has not yet been the recipient of a Turing Award.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
59% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
60% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
60% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
43% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win any of these awards or prizes before 2040?
32% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Nobel peace prize before 2100?
11% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
5% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
3% chance