Will China have fewer than 8.5 million live births in 2024?
Basic
6
Ṁ235Feb 2
39%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve based on figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China.
For reference, they reported 9.02M births in 2023.
https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/202401/t20240117_1946605.html
This number excludes "residents of Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan, and foreigners living in the 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China report more births in 2024 than in 2023?
41% chance
Will China's population drop in 2024?
94% chance
Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?
44% chance
Will fewer than 100 million babies be born worldwide in any calendar year before 2040?
38% chance
Will the birth rate in Singapore be at least 3% higher in 2024 than in 2023?
77% chance
Will the world population reach 8.5 billion?
61% chance
Will more babies be born in 2024 than 2023?
81% chance
Will Japanese Total Fertility be below 1.2 by 2030?
62% chance
Will the world population in 2030 be higher than 8.6 billion people?
56% chance
Will there be over 9 billion people by 2037?
45% chance