Will Trump sign a deal with Ukraine providing military support in exchange for rare earths by the end of 2025?
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For the purposes of this market, "military support" is defined broadly. Deploying US soldiers obviously counts, but so does providing weapons or other resources.
The spirit of the market is that anything along the lines of the deal under discussion would be a YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Apparently the US administration is pretty greedy and also doesn't want to give security guarantees. It doesn't look too good: https://www.politico.eu/article/us-donald-trump-asks-zelenskyy-half-ukraine-rare-minerals-military-support/
@MalachiteEagle the great thing about a rare earths for military deal is that it doesn't need trust. If the military doesn't arrive then you don't give up the rare earths.
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