Which world records will Jakob Ingebrigtsen hold at any point by the end of 2030?
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Plus
9
Ṁ3322
2031
82%
1500m
82%
Mile
55%
Steeplechase
80%
5000m
63%
10000m
20%
Half marathon
11%
Marathon

As of the posting of this question, Jakob currently holds the world records in the 2000m, 3000m, and 2 mile.

His career goal is to break the world record in every distance from 1500m to the marathon. Which ones will he succeed in breaking by the end of 2030?

  • Update 2025-02-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Record Type Consideration:

    • Only overall records are counted for this market.

    • Indoor records do not affect the outcome.

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Jakob just broke the world records for the indoor mile and indoor 1500m: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6135413/2025/02/13/jakob-ingebrigtsen-world-indoor-mile-1500m-records/

This market only considers the overall records and not the indoor records, but it's definitely a promising sign.

https://youtu.be/fG7AHQ24c9I?si=2GNYMqklKbBE1Mbn

Conclusion: The marathon is by far the hardest record to break, but he has a reasonable chance at all of the others.

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