Will there be a nuclear powerplant operating in Germany, in 2025?
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2025
2%
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Resolves yes if there is a plant delivering electricity at any point during that year.

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Doesn't it take like over 5 years to build?

predictedYES

@na_pewno they could restart an existing one

What about purchasing French power?

predictedNO

@tobid No, this question is only about power plants in germany.

predictedNO

It seems people believe that some nuclear power plant starts up in 2025 since the market for 2024 is much lower?

predictedYES

@MaxPayne thanks

predictedNO

@Adam There is also the following if you want to give me better odds. 😁

predictedNO

What reactors currently count as operating in germany?

predictedNO

@Svenbonne As far as I can tell that should be Emsland A, Isar 2, and Neckarwestheim 2, right now.

Electricity Production | Energy-Charts

predictedNO

@TimP Thanks for this clarification!

So we are just consindering industrial sized nuklear powerplants, right?

predictedNO

@Svenbonne I mean there aren't really any other? But I guess I would count pretty much any nuclear powerplant.

predictedNO

@TimP What about research reactors. There is at least one:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/FRM_II

I assume NO because it is not for “power”.

predictedNO

@MaxPayne Right, only powerplants.

predictedYES

Does a smaller-scale research reactor count (assuming it produces electricity)? Does it have to be connected to the grid?

Like I'm guessing you meant only "baseload grid-scale power generation reactors" but one naive reading of this would say that it should resolve true if HMS Astute was docked quayside in Hamburg for some reason.

predictedNO

@Adam : Ok, yeah I think it should provide power to the grid. (Though maybe to industry should count to?)

predictedNO

Ah, I miss the image bot.

You make both reasonable points.

Currently two running on standby, seems like public sentiment has changed since Russian gas became a risk:

https://nuklearia.de/2021/06/16/umfragen-mehrheit-der-deutschen-will-kernkraft-fuer-den-klimaschutz-2/

As a German, this market seems to be way too high. The current government decided to shut down all nuclear powerplants in 2023 and will be in power till 2025.

@Jannik not only that, the 3 plants that were just shut down are already headed for dismantling. The 3 plants that shut down EOY 2021 are already fully inoperable because of that

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