What will the highest elo of an open-source model on chatbot arena be at the end of 2024?
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Dec 31
1,315
expected

Resolves according the the LMSys leaderboard.

If the elo is above 1700, resolves at 1700; if below 1200, resolves at 1200.

As of the time of writing (May 24th), the highest elo is GPT-4o-2024-05-13 (at 1287), and the highest open-source elo is Llama-3-70b-Instruct (at 1203).

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Highest rated open source model as of 19th November 2024 is Llama-3.1-Nemotron-70B-Instruct, at 1269

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