Is Germany failing in the race for AI technology? (Resolve in 2027 by public opinion) | Manifold

Is Germany failing in the race for AI technology? (Resolve in 2027 by public opinion)

Basic

7

Ṁ332

2028

86%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I have not heard from Germany for a while.

Some say that training large models is not economic in Germany with the energy price increases.

Resolve EOY 2027 with public opinion.

Some criteria that will resolve NO:

A German company becomes a leader in the AI race
A German company/organization becomes one of the first five companies/organizations that realize self-driving cars.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#AI Governance & Policy ️

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

AI needs electricity, therefore no.

bought Ṁ200 YES

Lol, I've been unfortunate to have been working in vaguely AI-adjacent """innovation""" spaces, and the vibe I've been getting is that German IT as a whole is a complete dumpster fire. We're desperately trying to catch up (and make a complete fool of ourselves while doing so) while everything is mired in bureaucracy, hierarchy, and compliance, with no passion in sight anywhere. Family keeps telling me that I should move to the US already.

@Schneefackel Thank you! My purpose in hosting this market is indeed to encourage discussion of the situation in Germany. I really want to figure out what's going on.

Related questions

Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)

+6% 1d49% chance

Public opinion, late 2025: Out-of-control AI becoming a threat to humanity, a real threat?

Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?

Will Paris be the hub of AI in Europe by the end of 2027?

Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?

Will AI significantly impact education in Germany by the end of 2024?

In 2025 Jan, the UK AI summit will have been effective at AI safety? [Resolves to manifold poll]

Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?

The % of people who will think top AI firms are racing in 2026 (Resolves to Yes/Probably on poll)

Will any country declare an AI eligible to apply for citizenship by 2044?

Related questions

Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)

Will AI significantly impact education in Germany by the end of 2024?

Public opinion, late 2025: Out-of-control AI becoming a threat to humanity, a real threat?

In 2025 Jan, the UK AI summit will have been effective at AI safety? [Resolves to manifold poll]

Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?

Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?

Will Paris be the hub of AI in Europe by the end of 2027?

The % of people who will think top AI firms are racing in 2026 (Resolves to Yes/Probably on poll)

Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?

Will any country declare an AI eligible to apply for citizenship by 2044?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules