Best Open Weight LLM by EOY 2025 (by company/organization) | Manifold

Best Open Weight LLM by EOY 2025 (by company/organization)

Plus

33

Ṁ1799

Jan 1

1.9%

Mistral

30%

Deepseek

10%

Meta

0.4%

Yi

0.8%

ModelBest

42%

Qwen

15%

Other

The top 1, 2, 3 resolve to 50-30-20

Resolution will be based on LMSYS Arena Leaderboard. If it stop to exist, then I will choose some other benchmarks

For example, 2023 EOY would resolve to Mistral-50, Yi-30, Meta-20

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bought Ṁ10 YES

If I pay the 100 to add Zhipu, will I get that 100 back after the market resolves?

bought Ṁ500 YES

DeepSeek is not something to look down on
They already have a o1 equivilalent, and are fully self-funded + profitable

@MinhTruong Yeah, but Alibaba( Qwen) and ByteDance have more cookware, right?

I am telling yall, dont underestimate Deepseek. They already figured out how to do MoE

Also, Mistral is probably not gonna open weights their better models anymore, so Mixtral 8x7b-Small is the best we will get

It is not sure Llama 3 will be open source either

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Will top open-weight LLMs in 2025 reason opaquely?

What organization will have the top OPEN model on the Text leaderboard on LMArena at end of 2025?

Will China have the best open LLM at EOY?

What will be true of OpenAI's best LLM by EOY 2025?

Which company's model will capture the largest share of the enterprise LLM market by EOY 2025?

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What organization will top the LLM leaderboards on LMArena at end of 2025? 🤖📊

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