President Trump announced on Truth Social that he will meet with NYC Mayor-Elect Zohran Mamdani at the White House on Friday, November 21st. What will result from this meeting?
Answers will resolve based on reporting from any reputable U.S. new source (e.g. NYT) for factual questions and a Manifold poll for more subjective questions. Trump social media posts will not be enough to prove that something has occurred (must be backed up by credible reporting).
This market will resolve based on what has occurred by the end of 2025.
Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Trump deploys ICE in NYC": This would require a large-scale ICE operation in NYC (similar to operations in Charlotte, Chicago, LA, etc.) that occurs after the meeting.
Update 2025-11-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Subjective questions will be resolved based on a Manifold poll that will resolve YES/NO (not to a percent).
Update 2025-11-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Polls for subjective questions "Trump does nothing to spite Mamdani" and "Trump gets Excited About Buses" have been opened at: https://manifold.markets/SolarFlare/trump-did-nothing-to-spite-mamdani
Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "Mamdani compliments Trump": The creator considers Mamdani's statement "And what I really appreciate about the president is that the meeting that we had focused not on places of disagreement, which there are many, and also focused on the shared purpose that we have in serving New Yorkers" to be a compliment. The creator has offered to unresolve and open a poll if this is considered too subjective.
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3.00@1bets I agree than Mamdani was generally more polite than actively complimenting Trump, but the line I think is a compliment is "And what I really appreciate about the president is that the meeting that we had focused not on places of disagreement, which there are many, and also focused on the shared purpose that we have in serving New Yorkers." https://youtu.be/nDanzN1EUeE?t=208 If you think this is too subjective, I can unresolve it and open a poll.
I opened polls for "Trump does nothing to spite Mamdani" and "Trump gets Excited About Buses" here:
https://manifold.markets/SolarFlare/trump-did-nothing-to-spite-mamdani
https://manifold.markets/SolarFlare/did-trump-get-excited-about-buses-d
@FrederickNorris I've resolved all of the obvious ones and some of the subjective ones that I am pretty confident in (ex: Trump complimenting Mamdani). I will put out a poll within a day for the other subjective questions (which will resolve YES/NO, not to a percent). Please let me know if you disagree with any of the resolutions and why.
@SolarFlare I watched all the videos. Mamdani appreciated that meeting was well and appreciated - just polite - without compliments
@Jack0 they probably have to bring JD so that they don't have to talk Trump out of communism afterwards
@i_i Yes, this would correspond to a large-scale ICE operation in NYC ala Charlotte, Chicago, LA, etc. after the meeting.
ignore