Which region gets Sora access first by June 1st, 2025: EU, UK, or Neither?
Which region gets Sora access first by June 1st, 2025: EU, UK, or Neither?
Plus
3
Ṁ2250Jun 2
1D
1W
1M
ALL
48%
EU
50%
UK
1.9%
Neither
This market predicts which region between the EU and UK will first gain access to OpenAI's Sora video generation model, if any, by June 8, 2025.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from OpenAI regarding general availability.
References:
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filled a Ṁ100 EU YES at 50% order1mo
Both got access at the same time. Resolves 50/50? https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/technology/openai-sora-is-now-available-in-the-uk-and-eu-for-ai-video-heres-how-to-use-it/ar-AA1zZEss?ocid=BingNewsSerp
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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