Will an AI-generated movie be nominated for an Oscar before 2030?
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Market resolves to YES if:

At least one movie with footage that is entirely generated by a text-to-video AI is nominated for an Oscar before 2030. Everything else can be done by humans, including music score, script-writing, dialogue and editing, provided all of the original footage is AI-generated. The movie can be nominated in any category.

Close date updated to 2030-01-01 12:01 am

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I find it really hard to believe that an awards show that celebrates artists would nominate a movie with footage that is fully generated by AI. Even if the work is great, there seems to be such an anathema to AI within the artist community, that I think this will be very hard to accomplish.

predictedYES
predictedYES

@StrayClimb okay, no because 1) there are other visual effects manually applied 2) it's just animification of real life frames

predictedYES

no info on if it's exclusively generated with AI (I'm assuming no...) but related:

Prominent Web3 artists Emily Yang (also known as ‘pplpleasr‘) and Maciej Kuciara teamed up with the AI startup Kaiber to animate a breathtaking new AI-generated music video for Linkin Park’s previously unreleased Meteora-era banger.

Pplpleasr and Kuciara are the co-founders of the Web3 video platform Shibuya.

Using an AI-powered graphics engine, Kaiber allows users to create new video based on a prompt that describes their ideal version of a potential video, followed by a number of different style options for users to select from. 

https://thechainsaw.com/nft/music-nft/linkin-park-ai-generated-music-video-lost/

predictedYES

AI's opinion:

predictedYES

Is dialogue the only input to the AI ? What about screenplay ? Costume design? Music score ? Direction? Scene composition and camera placement? The list goes on.

My point is there's a lot that goes into making a movie and "dialogue, voices and editing" are somewhat arbitrary things to pick to allow for human intervention

predictedYES

@Odoacre Good points. What I had in mind is that the original footage must be generated using only text to video models. Everything else can be done by a human.

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What if footage is stitched together? If edited? If individual frames modified in Photoshop?

predictedYES

@StrayClimb The movie can be edited but the original footage must be completely AI-generated, rather than animated or filmed by a human. Sound fair?

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