Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025?

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Dec 31

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Resolves according to the Forbes Real Time Billionaires list. If at any point before the end of 2025, any person has a displayed net worth greater than or equal to $500 billion USD, this market resolves YES.

Otherwise, it resolves NO.

If Forbes stops updating their list, I will pick a new canonical source that seems as reliable as possible.

/Sketchy/who-will-be-the-first-halftrilliona

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bought Ṁ50 YES

Tesla at $480 if there is no increase in SpaceX or XAI. Every $2 billion or so valuation increase in Spacex or XAI should give another billion to Elon net worth. Reduce the tesla share price needed by $2.

bought Ṁ50 NO from 42% to 40%

bought Ṁ50 YES

$415 billion today. Tesla getting back to all time highs in January will do it because of increases in XAI valuation. SpaceX valuation increase coming mid-year as well.

bought Ṁ150 NO

Elon Musk at $380.9 Billion net worth per Forbes

https://www.forbes.com/profile/elon-musk/?listuri=rtb

Up $28B today

bought Ṁ50 NO from 45% to 43%

In this economy?!

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