Twitter have changed their logo from the old blue bird to a black stylised X on a white background. Musk Tweeted this as the change happened:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1682964919325724673
Will this new X logo last until 21:00 BST on Thursday 31st August (the close time of this market)?
Resolution notes;
I will be looking at the logo on the top left of the site when I view https://twitter.com/home while logged in. If there is no longer a logo in that particular part of the page, I will use my judgement to judge what counts as the site's logo.
If the logo is changed back to the blue bird or anything else which isn't an X, this market resolves NO, even if the change is temporary.
If the logo is changed to something else which is still an X, this will still resolve YES
If there is no logo on the site and it is impossible to determine what Twitter's logo is at the time that this market closes, I will resolve to N/A
By "Twitter" I mean the service that we currently know as Twitter. If the name of the service changes, that does not affect this market.
1,000
3.00Resolves YES.
There's also a market on whether the X will survive for another four months:
I've added a clarification in brackets to the title of this market. This doesn't change anything about the resolution since the notes have always explicitly stated "If the logo is changed back to the blue bird or anything else which isn't an X, this market resolves NO, even if the change is temporary" but since the market is trading above 90%, I thought it was worth calling this out in the market title in case anyone hadn't read the market description properly.
Also, since the market is trading so high, I've added an additional market as to whether the X will last for the entire year: