Will the Israel-Gaza war last more than 2 years?
Basic
11
Ṁ201
Oct 8
39%
chance

Resolves YES if the war in Gaza lasts longer than two years from October 7th.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

If the war in Gaza lasts beyond two years from October 7th, it could lead to prolonged humanitarian crises and regional instability. Click here conflict may reshape geopolitical alliances and intensify global diplomatic efforts for resolution.

what counts as “war” here?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules