Will Malaria Deaths go up in 2023?
Basic
9
Ṁ98Jan 1
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criterion: According to WHO data, will the number of Malaria deaths in 2023 be larger than the number for 2022?
Context: After years of decline in Malaria due to intense global efforts, in 2020 the amount of Malaria cases increased for the first time, mostly due to disruptions caused by COVID-19. 2021 figures show a small decline from that. 2022 and 2023 data has not yet been released. There's recently been a lot of concern over possible increases in Malaria that are driven by climate change as well as an invasive mosquito, Anopheles stephensi, which reached Africa lately. This species thrives in urban environments and is resistant to many treatments such as bednets. This market exists to see if these concerns are well-founded
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
Will any country eliminate malaria within its borders in 2024?
59% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the United States)
44% chance
Will there be fewer death due to infectious diseases in 2024 compared to 2023? (Wordwide)
55% chance
Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
55% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
39% chance
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?
20% chance
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
12% chance