Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Pro-GOP electoral college bias diminishes from its 2020 level
Plus
15
Ṁ3520Jan 1
96%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 80% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Net electoral college bias continues to favor the GOP
85% chance
Will @MatthewYglesias's 2024 predictions perform at least as well as his 2023 predictions by his own assessment?
32% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)
80% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Immigration/border/asylum legislation passes
23% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Supreme Court vacancy
86% chance
Will pro-GOP electoral college bias diminish from its 2020 level?
89% chance
Will net electoral college bias continue to favor the GOP in 2024?
81% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold Time Capsule: Pro-GOP electoral college bias diminish from its 2020 level
92% chance
Matt Yglesias 2024 predictions: Will Democrats lose at least one senate seat outside of WV/MT/OH?
98% chance
How big will the Republican Electoral College advantage be in 2024?