Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program in 2024?
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program in 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ247Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://news.yahoo.com/us-ready-greenlight-turkey-f-111400491.html
Selling F-35s to Turkey would resolve yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
There are a couple of ways to define this - "joining the F-35 program" would generally refer to restoring their status as a partner in the program, whereas you might also mean that they could have sales approved by the U.S. and other program members. Are you only counting if they join the program as manufacturing/research partners as they had initially been, or is any sale of F-35's to Turkey going to resolve this to yes?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
New F-35 sold to Turkey by EOY2028?
47% chance
Will Turkey bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
75% chance
Will Turkey bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
68% chance
Will Turkey bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
41% chance
Will Turkey bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
20% chance
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Turkey remain a member of NATO by 2030?
83% chance
Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?
9% chance
Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
18% chance