Will there be >10 deaths in internal conflicts in Russia in 2024?
Plus
22
Ṁ985Jan 1
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A lone wolf shooting will not count, must be conflict between two different organized groups.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Six people have been killed in what is reported as prevention of terrorism acts in Ingushetia: https://meduza.io/news/2024/03/03/v-ingushskom-karabulake-vveli-rezhim-kto-vlasti-soobschayut-ob-ubiystve-shesti-boevikov
@marktwse i don't think this satisfies the condition in the description of "between two organized groups"
Related questions
Related questions
Will more than 1000 people die in an internal conflict in Russia by 2025?
10% chance
What will be true of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
64% chance
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
15% chance
Will Russia have a civil war by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be more than 50 deaths in political, or military conflicts in Belarus, before 2025?
18% chance
Will Russia start another major wave of mobilization in 2024
13% chance
Will Russia mobilize at least 100k more soldiers before the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Russia have a civil war by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a successful coup in Russia by the end of 2024?
4% chance