Can GPT-5 guess between a Biden and a Trump neighborhood?
Basic
7
Ṁ772026
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Whenever I gain access, I'll give GPT-5 screenshots from Google Street View in randomly selected precincts that voted for Biden and Trump (as done here) .
I'll use a sample of 50. If GPT-5 is correct 35 times or more, it will resolve yes.
I will use this prompt:
"The following is a picture of somewhere in the United States. It voted for either Biden or Trump in 2020. Please guess which one it voted for. Reply only with the name of the candidate who is your guess."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump say GPT?
4% chance
Will Trump say ChatGPT?
4% chance
What will be true about GPT-5?
Will GPT-5 be released before Joe Biden ceases to be president?
20% chance
Will GPT-5 resolve this market?
68% chance
Biden vs Trump. Opinion market
73% chance
Will GPT-5 be at least a tiny bit strategic at the "Numbers Game"?
66% chance
Will GPT-5 be more competent than me in my area of expertise?
44% chance
Will GPT be used to help write one of Biden's speeches in his first term?
13% chance
Is GPT-5 a mixture of experts?
79% chance