-"Does": the main cause must have been the AI, not external circumstance.
-"an": must be a single event (we are not combining unrelated smaller disasters).
-"AI": must be a system (or multiple systems) that relied on artificial intelligence for its decisions.
-"disaster": the AI must've done something that most smart people would say is malicious, reckless, or poor judgement. Unless the AI was directly following orders by a human who we agree was authorized to give those orders, then that doesn't count.
-"kill": they must have deceased, not merely been injured/poisoned/etc.
-"at least 100": if the disaster causes ongoing deaths (such as by poisoning the atmosphere) then we will include the ongoing deaths, with the best available estimate.
-"Before 2029": resolves No in 2029-Jan if the above hasn't happened, otherwise resolves Yes whenever there is a consensus that it happened.
1,000
3.00If an AI is used to write code, but accidentally introduces software bugs causing a disaster, would this count even if humans are responsible for the code?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00