I don't think ads exist here

@ifechukwumunachiso this is true currently but the options in this market were selected by the site CEO so it’s reasonable to think that’s at least plausibly on the table

@ifechukwumunachiso Both "fees from...promoting markets" and "on-site advertising" are ads

this suddenly became a banger market imo. anything is on the table! come up with monetization ideas & save manifold!!

Based on the history this year, I expect mana sales to stay around $10k per month, and I would be surprised if promoting markets earns that much:
https://manifold.markets/stats

@TimothyJohnson5c16 @SG

How will this work though? Won't the massive amount of redemption of sweepstakes cash in February make Mana purchases net negative for the year?

@HillaryClinton The description says this is based just on December 2025, not the whole year. So Sweepcash won't exist anymore by then.

This is cool

So you like manifold meta markets? Well, have I got a treat for you! https://manifold.markets/CKLorentzen/what-will-be-the-topic-of-the-highe

We've removed transaction fees on the platform (for both mana and sweepcash)!

trading fees have been removed, so this seems unlikely at the moment

1. How do you value mana on your balance sheet? 1000:1?

2. Are you counting only Manifold's cut as revenue on Mana sales? (Added 20% on the 25k mana options, say). Or the whole thing?

What about miscellaneous investments using held cash, like that time Austin loaned money to Marcus' company? Does that get rolled into "Interest On Held Cash"?

What would win for July 2024?

Mana purchases

so is this doc ~roughly the methodology you'd use?

yeah, basically

Predict Manifold's financial future!