Post a link to your most interesting fun / whalebait / nonpredictive market below by March 1st. I will award the entire bounty to the market I believe is best (provided it meets some minimum quality bar). I will then "bless" the market by allowing it to be ranked and subsidized (and thus eligible for the next season of Leagues).
What am I looking for? Something like Whales vs. Minnows: Will traders hold at least 10000x as many YES shares as there are traders holding NO shares?NO or Will the average percentage of this market be above 50%? ("The Market")NO but more clever and more fun! Impress me!
1,000
3.00Thanks to everyone for participating! You all created so many wonderful/terrible markets, that I've decided to award a second place prize for M500 in addition to the grand prize of M1,000.
The first place winner is @KongoLandwalker's Nomic game45%! I don't know how this will turn out but I do know it's gonna be chaotic.
The second place winner is @strutheo's Dreamers v Schemers: Avg Yes is 1-3k?NO(which I've rechristened to Dreamers v Schemers). This is the Whales v Minnows Round 2 we've all been waiting for!
Both of these markets have my blessing to remain ranked and subsidized this season. Go forth and bet!
Thanks to everyone for participating! You all created so many wonderful/terrible markets, that I've decided to award a second place prize for M500 in addition to the grand prize of M1,000.
The first place winner is @KongoLandwalker's Nomic game45%! I don't know how this will turn out but I do know it's gonna be chaotic.
The second place winner is @strutheo's Dreamers v Schemers: Avg Yes is 1-3k?NO(which I've rechristened to Dreamers v Schemers). This is the Whales v Minnows Round 2 we've all been waiting for!
Both of these markets have my blessing to remain ranked and subsidized this season. Go forth and bet!
Will President Biden fumble his words at the State of the Union address? https://manifold.markets/HarryHayfield/will-president-biden-fumble-his-wor?r=SGFycnlIYXlmaWVsZA
"Edit the description of this market": https://manifold.markets/gregrosent/edit-the-description-of-this-market
Can the Whales pump enough money to outlast the Minnows?
Guaranteed payout for anyone on this site too much anyway!
https://manifold.markets/atatrkh/what-will-be-true-about-this-market?r=S29uZ29MYW5kd2Fsa2Vy not my market, but is fun
Actively courting controversy:
https://manifold.markets/HastingsGreer/on-noon-ct-on-april-1st-will-the-ho?r=SGFzdGluZ3NHcmVlcg
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00