In November, will Manifold think that H5 bird flu was transmitting human-to-human prior to February 12th?

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Nov 9

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On November 1 in my time zone, I will create a poll lasting a ~week with this title and the following answers:

Was H5 bird flu transmitting human-to-human prior to February 12th?

If there are more YES votes than NO votes, this market resolves YES. (A tie resolves NO.)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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