Resolves as YES if there is a Dyson Sphere around the Sun on January 1st 2030, capable of harnessing at least 1% of its power output. This artificial megastructure must at least be distributed in a ring around the Sun (i.e. it cannot be focused as a single or small (<50) finite number of large structures occupying 1% of the available angles), although it does not necessarily need to include other orbits (e.g. polar). If it occupies a ring around the sun, then both a swarm or a single monolithic structure qualify in the context of this question.
Questions with the same criteria:
/RemNi/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-498a9441b3bf
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-dd5dc0576ff4 (this question)
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-0b0b9fe48958
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-655a4defd440
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-7ffebd1e0ff5
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-082e239054e0
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-897d2cf9e325
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-51d476bf5275
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-dyson-sphere-around-d3e1ad8967f8
Space exploration questions:
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-v-4a5c4940b285
/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-l
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-76d02d43aa2c
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-j-d94ab8bbb580
/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-s-78e59fa4805f
/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-u-b7061eeb1c8c
/RemNi/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-n-80f53d888d58
Other questions for 2030:
/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030
/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-292c3a01b029
/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-217e4b895daa
/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-b78c73592440
Image credits: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Dyson_Sphere_Render.png
Image source: Image courtesy of Kevin M. Gill on Flickr, licensed under CC BY 2.0. Available at: https://flickr.com/photos/53460575@N03/29401385502
1,000
3.00I assume this will also resolve YES if more than 1% is harnessed through other means. It might be that we have technology much more advanced than Dyson spheres at some point in the next 50 years.
@Nikola It would be weird if this market was trying to capture our expansion/harnessing of the Sun's power, and resolved YES for using something similar to a dyson sphere, but "wrapped around" to NO if we used something more advanced than a dyson sphere
@RemNiFHfMN Like, if we have superintelligence, it might be that we harness the Sun's energy through something different from a Dyson sphere. Maybe star lifting, maybe something that isn't imaginable to us right now. I think that, if this market is about "how much energy will humanity or our decendants have access to", then I think this should resolve YES based on the percentage of energy harnessed, not based on the way it is done.