Resolves as YES if GPT-5 is released before July 1st 2024
Questions with the same criteria:
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2024?NO
Will GPT-5 be released before Mar 2024?NO
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-apr-20-e3c7a09c7840
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-may-20-370feb584056
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jun-20-da21ae1ffcdd
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jul-20-09d441d0d15e (this question)
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20-f155aef83a4b
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-sep-20-b4b9e56da814
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-oct-20-7426e1e5392e
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-nov-20-de1a0d74aaab
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-dec-20-0a804511572e
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jan-20-6e2ba03f7479
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-feb-20-5a18f221c267
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-mar-20
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-apr-20
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-may-20
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jun-20
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-jul-20
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-sep-20
/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-oct-20
Will GPT-5 be released before Nov 2025?90%
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2025?91%
Will GPT-5 be released before Jan 2026?91%
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2026?95%
Other questions for Jul 2024:
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2024?NO (this question)
Will Sora be released before Jul 2024?NO
In order to qualify as released in the context of this question, GPT-5 must either be accessible to any consumer willing to pay, or free to access for anyone, in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.
A release of the text component alone is sufficient to resolve this question as YES. However, a staged release (a release of a smaller model than the largest version of GPT-5) is not considered to be the "release" in the context of this question.
If access is restricted (e.g. due to resource availability limitations) at this question's end date, then this market resolves as YES only if the majority of existing paying accounts on OpenAI's premium offer that were subscribed a week prior to this end date can use the model. This must be true in at least 4 of the countries listed above. The anywhere on earth time zone is used for this question.
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00