Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2029?

These humanoid robots must meet specific criteria to be counted towards this total. Each robot must be bipedal, walking upright on two legs in a manner that broadly resembles human walking. Additionally, each robot must be equipped with hands capable of manipulating objects. The hands should have fingers or similar appendages, allowing them to grip, hold, and interact with various items. Each robot must be capable of autonomous function without external power for a duration of at least 1 hour in order to qualify in the context of this question.

Each robot must be between 1.25 and 3 meters tall when standing up, and weigh between 25 and 500 kg. Furthermore, each robot must be able to lift a 5kg box off the floor and walk with it for 10 meters in order to qualify.

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Robotics company Figure plans to deploy 100,000 humanoid robots by 2028, building on their successful partnership with BMW where their autonomous fleet operates 400% faster with 7x higher success rates. After securing a second major US customer, the company aims to address labor shortages in manufacturing, logistics, and retail.

Their robots, Figure 01 and 02, can perform tasks like coffee-making and meal preparation while self-correcting mistakes. Founder Brett Adcock envisions expanding from simple repetitive tasks to more complex operations, excluding military applications. The company focuses on roles humans prefer not to perform, including potential future applications in home assistance and elderly care.

https://needtoknow.co.uk/2025/01/31/robotics-company-to-ship-100000-humanoids-after-success-of-fleet-ordered-by-bmw/

This factory in Bend, OR is expecting to crank out 10k humanoid robots a year once the factory is fully functional in 2025.

https://businessfacilities.com/worlds-first-humanoid-robot-factory-being-built-in-oregon

Throw in the robots of Amazon and Telstra and I think the target is quite achievable.

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