Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2032.

In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.

Questions with the same criteria:

Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2031?13%‌

Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2032?13%‌ (this question)

Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2033?15%‌

Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2034?21%‌

Other questions for 2032:

Will we get AGI before 2032?69%‌

Will we get ASI before 2032?40%‌

Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?17%‌

Will a human walk on the Moon again before 2032?77%‌

Will we discover alien life before 2032?14%‌

Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?34%‌

Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2032?70%‌

Will a human walk on Mars before 2032?15%‌

Discovery of matter outside our 3D space before 2032?21%‌

Will AI extend English before 2032?59%‌

Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?5%‌

The VR experience must be possible to run for at least 1 hour every day for a whole year. This must have been demonstrated for each candidate device with successful human trials on at least 50 individuals that began at least one year prior to this question's end date. The VR experience must replicate the following senses: sight, hearing, smell, touch, taste, acceleration, proprioception. This replication must occur without the body of the user moving in significant ways.

If capitalism is not yet abolished in each respective country on this question's end date, then the cost of installation and running/maintaining this interface for a year must be less than 10% of that country's median income. If the country in question is no longer running consumer capitalism at this time, then available metrics will be used to determine purchasing power equivalents. In either case, at least 2% of the adult population must have installed one of these devices on this question's end date. Both reversible and irreversible BCI implants are acceptable in the context of this question.

The device must include an interface to the user's brain or nervous system. Additional interfaces (e.g. screens, cameras, speakers, microphones) between the device and the user are acceptable.