Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast 2026 Hot Takes Megamarket
3
Ṁ698
2026
76%
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
60%
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
10%
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
10%
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
4%
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
59%
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
34%
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
34%
[Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories
30%
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
66%
[Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC
34%
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC
24%
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
24%
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
34%
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
71%
[Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories
24%
[Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours
34%
[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France
10%
[Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument
60%
[Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories
6%
[Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points

The Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast produce a series of videos in the cycling offseason where they discuss cycling teams, review their past season, and analyze, predict, and offer hot takes of questionable likelihood on their upcoming season. I will record any prediction or hot take mentioned in their podcasts in this market.

  • Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France": This will resolve N/A if only one of them or neither of them start the Tour de France.

  • Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season": This will resolve YES only if Lidl-Trek finishes exactly 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season (not 2nd or 4th).

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bought Ṁ10 YES

@RedzoneITG Strongly depends on the schedule they pick for Ayuso. I feel like the team will just send him to the TDF but I didn't read anything about plans.

@RedzoneITG I assume this one means exactly 3rd, not 2nd or 4th?

bought Ṁ4 YES

@Eliza Yep, 3rd exactly

bought Ṁ20 YES

@RedzoneITG I think they'll overperform, yeah.

bought Ṁ5 NO

@Eliza Yeah I was surprised on how low they seem on the team's top level ability. I think it also depends a lot on the team's scheduling and goals; they could probably win like 15 if they sent Kooij to farm sprints in weaker 2.UWTs, used Riccitello, Gall, Prodhomme, etc aggressively in mountain breakaways instead of aiming for GC, that kind of thing.

@RedzoneITG Since this is a "hot take" rather than a regular H2H prop bet, should it resolve even if one or the other fails to start/finish the race? So it resolves Yes if Lipowitz finishes the TDF and his finish position is higher than Remco (including if Remco does not start/finish the TDF), and resolves No in all other cases?

@Eliza I was thinking N/A if only one of them or neither of them start

bought Ṁ50 NO

@RedzoneITG Alright, so just standard H2H rules, thanks for clarifying!

bought Ṁ10 YES

Yeah probably better in one place than 27 markets.

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