Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025?

30

Ṁ2128

Dec 31

93%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As tensions between the USA and Europe are increasing and the Trump administration is leaning heavily towards Russia, many politicians have suggested for Europe to move away from their current alliance.

This market resolves to "NO" if NATO doesn't exist anymore in its current state by the end of 2025.

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When France left NATO, was it still “current form”?

@mariopasquato ¿? France hasn't left NATO

@Choms De Gaulle withdrew France from the military command structure in 1966 (France re-joined in 2009) but they never left the alliance.

@NicoDelon thanks for the clarification.

If the us leaves NATO is it NATO anymore?

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Odoacre that's what I mean by "its current form". If that happened, this market would resolve to "no".

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