What will be involved in cracking the RSA-2048 challenge number?
6
Ṁ416
2050
61%
Quantum computing
26%
Artificial intelligence*
44%
New mathematics**

* Any machine learning system must be involved in finding the solution directly, or finding new algorithms (in which case, new mathematics also resolves yes).
** New algorithm, lowering the computational complexity compared to currently known algorithms:
- Number field sieve, if the computations were performed on a classical computer.
- Shor's algorithm, if the computations were performed on a quantum computer.

All options may resolve No, for example if this is achieved by just scaling up computational power. The question stays open until the number is factored.

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