French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030? | Manifold

French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2030?

18

Ṁ645

2031

61%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Any or all

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war

#🇷🇺 Russia

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ10 NO

Base rate is few years per century. 5 years left. So 20% tops. Am I wrong?

@mariopasquato i don't even know what to say... "You are not even wrong"?

@hidetzugu do you have any arguments for disregarding the base rate here?

Related questions

Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?

-4% 1d27% chance

German troops deployed in Ukraine in 2025?

Will France deploy troops to fight in Ukraine by the end of 2025?

Will France or the UK send soldiers to Ukraine before 2026?

North Korean troops in Ukraine by mid 2025

French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2025?

German troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027?

Will Poland deploy troops to fight in Ukraine by the end of 2025?

Will European Troops Enter Combat in Ukraine Before 2026?

Will polish army officialy enter Ukraine by 2025?

Related questions

Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?

French, Polish, German and/or British troops deployed to Ukraine by end of 2025?

German troops deployed in Ukraine in 2025?

German troops deployed in Ukraine by 2027?

Will France deploy troops to fight in Ukraine by the end of 2025?

Will Poland deploy troops to fight in Ukraine by the end of 2025?

Will France or the UK send soldiers to Ukraine before 2026?

Will European Troops Enter Combat in Ukraine Before 2026?

North Korean troops in Ukraine by mid 2025

Will polish army officialy enter Ukraine by 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules