*Alice Cuddy & Jon Donnison
Role,BBC News, Jerusalem
26 January 2025
US President Donald Trump has said he wants Egypt and Jordan to take in Palestinians from Gaza.
Trump said he had made the request to Jordan's King Abdullah and planned to ask Egypt's president on Sunday, too.
Describing Gaza as a "demolition site", Trump said: "You're talking about probably a million and a half people, and we just clean out that whole thing". He added that the move "could be temporary" or "could be long-term".*
Clarification: for the purpose of this market "Significant number" is defined as at least 1,000,000 people.
Factors to Consider: Political resistance from Jordan and Egypt, willingness of Gazans to leave, international pressure, and potential Israeli policies.
Update 2025-01-30 (PST): - Resettlement refers to mass forced resettlement. (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000
3.00Egypt and Jordan have been rejecting this for literally generations. What reason do they have to change their policy now?
Clarification: for the purpose of this market "Significant number" is defined as at least 1000,000 people.
Is this number a typo? It’s the difference between less than a tenth and over half of the population.
@PoliticalEconomyPK I mean there’s a missing comma. Is the number supposed to be one million or is it one hundred thousand?
Does resettlement here mean any population movement, including voluntary illegal immigration / people-smuggling? Or just voluntary legal immigration? Or even specifically just state-organised resettlement programs?
@TheAllMemeingEye the use of the word resettlement is in the context of trump's recent statements about him asking jordan and egypt to "take in palestinians" to "clean out gaza"
From the article
"Describing Gaza as a "demolition site", Trump said: "You're talking about probably a million and a half people, and we just clean out that whole thing". He added that the move "could be temporary" or "could be long-term".*
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00