What will be the combined vote percentage of all independent/third party candidates in the 2024 POTUS election?
Basic
9
Ṁ1521in an hour
60%
0 - 2%
38%
2% -3%
0.9%
3% - 4%
0.2%
4% - 5%
0.2%
5% - 6%
0.2%
6% - 7%
0.2%
7% - 8%
0.2%
8% - 10%
0.2%
10% - 15%
0.1%
15% +
Resolves to the percentage of the popular vote that is not cast for either Biden or Trump. (If one of them somehow gets replaced as their party's nominee, whoever replaces them is counted instead.)
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Arb with
https://manifold.markets/HillaryClinton/will-third-party-candidates-receive
where over 2% is currently at 80%
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