Will There Be a "Flying Car" (VTOL) Under $50,000 by 2040 in the US?
Basic
8
Ṁ288Jul 13
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve to YES if a "flying car" (VTOL) is commercially available in the US for under $50,000 (adjusted for inflation, 2024) by 2040.
This vehicle cannot be categorized as a car, an airplane, a helicopter, or a jetpack (or any other form of vehicle).
Whether you need extra licensing for this vehicle or not won't affect the outcome of this market.
Ground effect flying or hovering does not count.
You may or may not need a license plate.
The vehicle must carry at least one average adult person.
A hovering car (using ground effect or some other form of close-ground hovering technology) does not count as a flying car.
Using a canopy or some sort of parachute device that allows the vehicle to glide does not count as flying.This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
33% chance
Will 0.1% of the US population have traveled in a flying car by 2050?
42% chance
Will I See a "Jetson" or similar human piloted flying electric VTOL 'copter by the end of 2024?
26% chance
Will 0.1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
38% chance
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
54% chance
By 2040, will it be possible to take an electric VTOL aircraft on a trip of at least 75 miles for less than $100
19% chance
Will there be commercial flying cars by Eoy 2024?
6% chance
Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
74% chance
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
60% chance
Will Boeing have a Flying Car in use on at least one commercial route by the end of 2030?
30% chance