What share of the vote will the Greens receive in the next German federal election?
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Ṁ902Dec 31
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The next federal election in Germany will presumably take place in the fall of 2025. What share of the propotional vote ("Zweitstimme") will the Greens receive?
The market will resolve to the share as stated in the final official record. You can find a summary of current polling here, for example.
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Close date updated to 2025-12-31 11:59 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Maybe more important than the single vote share of the Greens would be the sum together with the SPD. Think about, what if the SPD and Greens formed some alliance when negotiating a coalition with CDU/CSU? Then the next chancellor heavily depends on the question if SPD and Greens combined get more seats than CDU/CSU! See this market for some probabilities.
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