Will Jan Leike still be leading Superalignment in 4 years?
Plus
23
Ṁ66532027
1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Ilya Sutskever (cofounder and Chief Scientist of OpenAI) has made this his core research focus, and will be co-leading the team with Jan Leike (Head of Alignment).
Resolves NO if a reputable source says that Jan Leike is no longer leading Superalignment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@shankypanky The question is clearly referring to the OpenAI Superalignment team. Even if he led a team called Superalignment at Anthropic, it shouldn't count.
bought Ṁ944 NO
Resolves NO, he left:
https://x.com/janleike/status/1791498174659715494
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/17/openai-superalignment-sutskever-leike.html
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? [ACX 2024]
2% chance
Will I think that alignment is no longer "preparadigmatic" by the start of 2026?
37% chance
Will xAI significantly rework their alignment plan by the start of 2026?
63% chance
Will Tetra make an alignment-focused LessWrong post that she is proud of by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Will I have a career as an alignment researcher by the end of 2024?
38% chance
In 5 years will I think the org Conjecture was net good for alignment?
57% chance
Will OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
5% chance
Will a major AI alignment office (eg Constellation/Lightcone/HAIST) give out free piksters to alignment ppl by EOY 2027?
43% chance
Will "[Linkpost] Introducing Superalignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will there be more alignmentforum posts from 2025 than 2024?
59% chance