Will Tumbles or Orangey participate as a framer for Manifold’s constitution?
18
Ṁ1188
Jul 14
0.3%
@Tumbles is framer
0.3%
@Orangey is framer
98.3%
Convention does not occur
1.1%
Convention occurs, but neither are framers

Related: /bens/will-i-receive-the-mandate-of-the-p

It has already been stated by @bens that both accounts will not be permitted to participate. If both Orangey and Tumbles are somehow included as framers, this market will handle it by resolving both options to 50%.

Resolution of this market will be decided (in part) by the result of this poll:

This resolves to ‘Convention does not occur’ if current plans are derailed and a continuous month goes by where no credible plans to move forward with a constitutional convention (in the reasonably near future) are scheduled.

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bought Ṁ580 YES

@Tumbles resolves 'convention didn't occur)

@100Anonymous I think there is a small possibility that it could still occur given the recent augury market, but I’m not sure how that would be treated for resolution

bought Ṁ75 YES

not occur should be the same probability as the original market

Who better represents the will of Manifold's userbase? Me, or my Cat?

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