What will be the life expectancy of the average human born in 1996
Basic
6
Ṁ1972107
54%
80-90
23%
90-100
6%
100-130
17%
More than 130
Update 2025-07-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that an 'under 80' option is not available because they do not believe in AI Risk. This implies that catastrophic scenarios resulting in a low life expectancy are being excluded from consideration for this market's resolution.
Update 2025-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When asked about the absence of an 'under 80' option, the creator advised to pick the one with 80, suggesting that outcomes below 80 years should be mapped to the 80-year option.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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