Background
During President Trump's joint address to Congress in March 2024, he referred to Elon Musk as the "Head of DOGE" (Department of Government Efficiency). This statement has since been cited in legal challenges against the administration, as it contradicts the government's official position on Musk's role and DOGE's legal status. The administration has previously attempted to downplay Musk's formal authority over DOGE to avoid legal complications.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if President Trump publicly refers to Elon Musk as the "Head of DOGE" or "Head of the Department of Government Efficiency" in any public forum, including speeches, social media posts, interviews, or official statements, before the market close date.
The market will resolve as NO at market close otherwise.
Fine print
Similar phrases like "in charge of DOGE," "DOGE chief" or "DOGE ... headed by Elon" that indicate Musk is in charge will qualify.
I will take Trump's words at face value, without attempting to determine if it's a joke or not.
The reference must come directly from Trump himself, not from a spokesperson or other administration official
1,000
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00