Will Humans go extinct by 2200?
Plus
28
Ṁ18462200
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
In 2020, Toby Ord estimates existential risk in the next century at "1 in 6" in his book The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity. He also estimated a "1 in 10" risk of extinction by unaligned AI within the next century.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will humans be an endangered species by 2600?
45% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2300?
52% chance
Will Humans become extinct in 2400?
66% chance
Will humans be an endangered species by 2400?
41% chance
Will humans be an endangered species by 2500?
20% chance
Will I be alive by 2100?
38% chance
Will humans be an endangered species by 2200?
33% chance
Will humans be an endangered species by 2700?
50% chance
Will humanity survive until 2100?
83% chance
Will humans be an endangered species by 2300?
39% chance