Will there be an off-year snap election in New Zealand by 2040?
Basic
5
Ṁ1902039
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a snap election happens in a year not congruent to 1 modulo 3, i.e. breaking the usual pattern of 2017, 2020, 2023...
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
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