
Will AI top level capabilities generally be judged by question and answer benchmarks in 2029?
Basic
8
Ṁ1652029
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI be passable at answering Magic: The Gathering rules questions before 2030?
87% chance
Will any AI get a score of at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam benchmark before March 11, 2025?
12% chance
Will AIs beat human experts in question-answering on the GPQA benchmark before January 1st, 2027?
95% chance
Will AI be smarter than any one human probably around the end of 2025?
16% chance
By 2029, will any AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it? (Gary Marcus benchmark #2)
96% chance
🐕 Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher than Human Level Reasoning Through Common Sense Questions, By 2024 End?
37% chance
Will Quora questions be auto-answered by a more sophisticated bot (at level of GPT3.5 or higher) by EOY 2025?
77% chance
Will an ai be trained/fine-tuned on Quora by 2035?
92% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2025?
🐕 Will Any AI Effectively Achieve Higher Than Human Level at Answering Multiple Choice, Grounded Situations (EO 2024)?
22% chance