In Jan 2027, it will be standard practise for non-AI-building tech companies to finetune and train their own models | Manifold

In Jan 2027, it will be standard practise for non-AI-building tech companies to finetune and train their own models

Basic

6

Ṁ65

2027

56%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As opposed to buying them and just adding prompts

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Wouldn't this be at least partially dependent on their market cap? I can imagine a scenario where, for example, most fintech companies are happy to spend x% of their revenue / turnover a year on AI model build and tuning but startups might not have the capital

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Will Microsoft AI launch its first model by September 2025?

Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?

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AI model training time decreases fourfold by mid-2027?

[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2026?

Will the US ban AI models produced in China in 2025?

Which kind of computers will be the standard for AI models in 2034?

Will a model costing >$30M be intentionally trained to be more mechanistically interpretable by end of 2027? (see desc)

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