How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2024 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Basic
7
Ṁ118Jan 1
5%
Less than 222
7%
222-250
45%
251-275
44%
More than 275
(there were 222 launch attempts in 2023)
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2024?
Will SpaceX perform at least 144 successful orbital launches in the year 2024?
3% chance
How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2024?
63% chance
How many objects will be launched into space in 2024?
Will RocketLab have at least 16 orbital launches in 2024?
65% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
How many lunar landers will successfully land on the moon in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
How many Starship launches will there be in 2024?