Will over 10,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
Basic
9
Ṁ2632030
84%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See:
https://www.gwern.net/Embryo-selection
Doesn't matter what the traits selected are; can be predicted health, personality traits, intelligence, criminality, whatever. Just matters that the embryo was selected based on not specific, simple criteria (i.e. how many chromosomes a fertilized egg has or whether or not it will have sickle cell disease) but more wide ranging quality of life or "child success" predictions.
Other markets:
:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
44% chance
Will over 1,000,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
28% chance
Will a human baby be born via IVG before 2030?
53% chance
Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?
35% chance
Embryo Selection—2050
25% chance
Will 10% or more US births be selected embryos by 2030
7% chance
Will in vitro fertilization become illegal or totally inaccessible in any state before 2030?
35% chance
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will in-vitro gametogenesis be used to produce a functional embryo by 2028?
39% chance
Will embryo selection be mentioned during a U.S. presidential debate before 2030?
34% chance