Will any of the following Western countries experience a national homicide rate above 10 per 100,000 per year before 2030?
Basic
5
Ṁ532030
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.
List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
France
Greece
Germany
Iceland
Italy
Latvia
Luxembourg
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States
Must be the homicide rate for a calendar year, not (for example) a specific month or week.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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