Will any Manifold User with a trustworthyish badge be charged with murder by 2030?
Plus
10
Ṁ11402030
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Current or former. Includes future equivalents.
Inspired by Isaac King's market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will a Manifold user be convicted of murder by 2030?
95% chance
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
27% chance
Will someone commit murder to profit on Manifold by 2030?
3% chance
Will someone commit murder for the sake of a Manifold death market by the end of 2030?
3% chance
🧑⚖️What crimes will active Manifold users be indicted for before the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
Will any Manifold users be discovered to be in cawhoots before the end of 2030?
10% chance
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for selling military secrets to another country before the end of 2030?
30% chance
Will I be banned at least once on Manifold before the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
10% chance
Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?
82% chance